Think before you accept that package

I see today that Georgia is trying to sell that the Russians started the conflict last month. Color me skeptical that the Russians could have rolled an entire armored regiment through the one tunnel connecting to south Ossetia and putted along for a whole day without anyone noticing before now. That their only evidence is some radio intercepts they only just realized they have means either it is a lie or their signal intelligence capacity ranks slightly above Namibia and Botswana - something I have a hard time believing given all the American and Israeli hardware and training that has been happening the last few years. And if somehow you do suck that badly and have real plans of engaging anyone militarily you certainly wouldn't broadcast that.

Of course, regardless, the fact remains the Georgians started shelling cities without anyone having taken a shot at them yet. And that was really dumb unless their objective was to start something thinking the Americans would back them or at least the blow back would get them some extra military dollars and membership in NATO. And so if that was your goal the logical next step would be to start leaking Intel that the Russians started it and whip up your friends in America to make some campaign promises and ensure you have money in the 2010 budget (which is just starting to be negotiated at omb).